The real issue driving the Pound

With just over three weeks to go, all eyes are on the election.

But we wonder whether it will bring the certainty over Brexit as hoped?

Just about everyone expects the Conservatives to win.

However, that’s not the real issue.

Boris Johnson needs more than a win; he needs a large majority to get his Brexit bill passed. And that is far from certain.

A small Conservative majority (which Nigel Farage is predicting) may keep us stuck on the Brexit merry-go-round.

As HSBC put it “anything can happen”.

The period of stability we are seeing in the Pound may well be short-lived.

Option prices on Pound Sterling have doubled in value since the beginning of the month.

In plain English, it means investors are very nervous about the result and we could see sharp moves in exchange rates around election time.